Filing Watch: National Recap — June 2026
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FILING WATCH
National Recap · June 2026
National Recap
Monthly National Recap

June’s market moved through the fine print — exits, advisories and scores, not the rate line.

May was a wall of commercial-auto rate hikes. June flipped: the biggest books are package, not auto; the auto increases that qualified are surgical, not broad; and the real moves are a multi-state towing-program exit, ISO advisories resetting the floor, and third-party scoring on nearly everything.

The month in numbers

886K
Policyholders in featured filings
54
Rate-increase filings
21
Market exits
27
New scoring / tiering moves

Northeast WC wakes up

Workers comp carried the rate volume for once — Berkshire Hathaway took Pennsylvania’s biggest comp book up 8.1% (27,494 policyholders), with Argo and Next moving PA and MD. The loudest auto move wasn’t a rate at all: an ISO Vermont advisory reset long-haul loss costs +91.7%.

Berkshire (PA) WC +8.1% · 27,494 PH · ~$4,165/policy

Southeast Fragmented + exit

Commercial auto fractured into class-specific shocks — public transit +256% (Grange TN), non-owned +250% (Federated GA) — while AmGUARD pulled its KBK Towing program across four Southeast states. Erie ran the same abuse re-rate as up north: NC hotels +78%, apartments +70% under a flat average.

AmGUARD towing exit (4 SE states) · Erie NC ASM +70–78%

Midwest / NW Structural

A structural month — one qualifying rate increase region-wide (Shelter KS auto +14%) as comp stayed soft. The marquee moves were exits and scoring: AmGUARD towing out of ND/KS/ID, Acuity pricing on CARFAX vehicle history, and an exclusion wave (PFAS, gen-AI, human-trafficking).

Shelter (KS) +14% · AmGUARD exit (ND/KS/ID)

Southwest Trucking crisis + big books

The trucking rate crisis is real here — Transverse Utah +42.4%, AXA XL California +32.9% liability, Acuity Texas up to 46% on heavy trucks — alongside the country’s biggest books: Allstate’s 148,492-policy Texas landlord book and Farmers’ 61,303-policy California BOP. Three carriers quit for-hire/towing the same month.

Allstate (TX) 148,492 PH · Transverse (UT) trucking +42.4%

Rate trends by line

LineTypical approved increaseWhere it concentratedNotable carriers
Commercial AutoClass-specific +10% to +46% (transit/non-owned tails to +250%)UT, CA, TX, TN, KSTransverse (UT), AXA XL (CA), Acuity (TX), Grange (TN)
Workers Comp+8% to +15% in the Northeast; soft elsewherePA, MDBerkshire Hathaway (PA), Argo (PA), Next (MD)
CMP / BOP & PackageFlat-to-+27% averages hiding class re-ratesPA, NC, GA, TX, CAErie (PA/NC), Allstate (TX), State Farm (GA/VA), Farmers (CA)
General LiabilityISO 2025 GL loss costs +8% to +30% + class surchargesVA, GAISO/Verisk advisory, Selective, Hiscox
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FILING WATCH
National Recap · June 2026
National Recap — The Big Picture

The Big Picture

If May was a wall of commercial-auto rate hikes, June was the opposite: the loudest moves happened in structure, not the headline rate. The ten largest books this month are almost all package and BOP, and the auto increases that qualified are surgical — a class here, a territory there — rather than broad.

The defining event is an exit. Berkshire Hathaway’s AmGUARD is discontinuing its KBK Towing program across eleven states, with mandatory non-renewals starting in late October — and it’s not alone: 21 market exits cleared our screen this month, from Shelter and Harco leaving for-hire trucking (again) to specialty programs in auto repair, amusement comp and agribusiness. When these non-renew, MCS-90 and program coverage go with them; those accounts are shopping now.

Where rates did move, ISO advisories are the engine — a Vermont trucking advisory (+91.7%), 2025 GL loss costs rippling through Southeast package carriers, and a Virginia BOP advisory touching 219,000 policyholders. And underneath almost everything: third-party scoring. CARFAX and TransUnion vehicle history, LexisNexis and Fortegra credit, cyber-hygiene scans — carriers are repricing risk on data, often hiding two- and three-times swings under a modest filed average.

Cross-Region Patterns

Structure over rate

The biggest books this month are package and BOP, not auto — and the qualifying auto increases are class-specific (public transit +256%, non-owned +250%), not whole-book. The story left the rate line.

A nationwide towing & trucking exit wave

AmGUARD’s KBK Towing program is pulling out across eleven states, on top of Shelter and Harco leaving for-hire trucking again and Intact’s non-trucking-liability exits — 21 market exits in all.

ISO advisories are the rate engine

A Vermont trucking advisory (+91.7%), 2025 GL loss costs, and a Virginia BOP advisory (219,000 policyholders) reset the floor for every adopting carrier — the carrier filings follow.

Flat average, brutal class factors

Erie’s abuse re-rate runs +70–79% on hotels and apartments under a near-flat average, in PA and NC alike. Read the class factors, not the headline percentage.

Scoring is everywhere

CARFAX/TransUnion vehicle history, LexisNexis/Fortegra credit and cyber-hygiene scans now price auto, BOP and GL — the model, not the manual, is setting the rate.

Coverage & Structural Watch

Market exits (21)

AmGUARD’s KBK Towing across eleven states (non-renewals from Oct 28), Shelter and Harco for-hire trucking, Intact non-trucking liability (IN/TN), plus auto-repair, amusement-comp and agribusiness programs. Displaced accounts are in the market now.

Scoring & tiering (27)

CARFAX/TransUnion vehicle history (Acuity, Federated), LexisNexis/Fortegra credit (Next, State Farm CRI, Erie Cyber 3.0), Farmers’ Smart Plan and Travelers cyber-hygiene — data pricing across auto, BOP and GL.

Coverage contraction (38)

PFAS / forever-chemical, generative-AI, assault and human-trafficking exclusions; ZEV/hybrid-truck bans continue; cyber sublimits cut; Erie’s multi-state abuse-coverage re-rate.

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National Recap · June 2026
National Recap — Exits, Movers & Outlook

Market Exits

For-hire trucking and towing dominated June’s exits, led by Berkshire Hathaway’s AmGUARD discontinuing its KBK Towing program across eleven states — mandatory non-renewals begin in late October. Twenty-one exits cleared our screen in all. When a motor-carrier or program policy non-renews, the coverage (and any MCS-90) goes with it; these insureds must replace it fast.

CarrierLine / SegmentStatesPolicyholdersEffective
AmGUARD (BH GUARD)KBK Towing program (commercial auto)TX·OK·NM·CA·NC·GA·SC·MS·ND·KS·ID~800+ knownOct 28, 2026
ShelterFor-hire trucking (Truckmen)CO (+ others)~121 (CO)Aug 1, 2026
Harco National (IAT)Motor-carrier programCA13Oct 1, 2026
Intact / Atlantic SpecialtyNon-trucking liability / TruckersIN · TNn/dNov 1, 2026
Argo GroupChoice Auto Repair programVAn/dJun 1, 2026
AXA XL (T.H.E.)Amusement & Entertainment WCSCJun 15, 2026
TriangleMotor carrier + crime (agribusiness)MOn/dJul 1, 2026
GuideOneArtisan contractors (NIF)CA516Aug 15, 2026
Grain Dealers Mutual (Am Fam)Commercial package (full withdrawal)OKn/dJun 12, 2026
Williamsburg National (AF Group)Workers compCA24Aug 1, 2026

Biggest filings nationwide

StateCarrierLineChangePolicyholders$/policyEffective
VAISO / Verisk (advisory)BOP+8.3% (retail +30%)219,372$154Dec 1, 2026
TXAllstate IndemnityCMP Landlord+19%148,492$2,287Apr 20, 2026
PAErieCMP / Package~flat; ASM +70–79%94,417$3,980Jan 1, 2027
CAFarmers (Truck Ins Exch)BOP+3.5% + Smart Plan61,303$11,580Oct 1, 2026
NCErieCMP / Package+15%; ASM +70–78%44,327$3,203Jan 1, 2027
GAState FarmCMP / Package+15% (apts +27.7%)35,151$3,229Aug 15, 2026
PABerkshire HathawayWorkers Comp+8.1%27,494$4,165Jul 1, 2026
VAState FarmCMP / Package+4.3%25,570$1,937Jul 15, 2026
ORState FarmCMP / Packagemixed (condos +13.9%)23,846$2,242Jul 15, 2026

What It Means — Your Move

Rescue the displaced

Twenty-one exits — led by AmGUARD’s eleven-state towing pull — put whole programs into the market with coverage lapsing at non-renewal. These are time-sensitive, high-intent placements. Work the exit lists first.

Read the classes, not the average

A 0.5% Erie filing hides +79% on abuse coverage; a 15% State Farm filing hides +27.7% on apartments. The filed average is marketing — the class factors are the account.

Get ahead of the ISO wave

A Vermont trucking advisory (+91.7%), 2025 GL loss costs and a 219,000-policy Virginia BOP advisory reset the floor for every adopting carrier. Where you see the advisory, the carrier filings are coming.